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Age of onset and lifetime projected risk of psychotic experiences: Cross-national data from the world mental health survey

  • John J. McGrath
  • , Sukanta Saha
  • , Ali O. Al-Hamzawi
  • , Jordi Alonso
  • , Laura Andrade
  • , Guilherme Borges
  • , Evelyn J. Bromet
  • , Mark Oakley Browne
  • , Ronny Bruffaerts
  • , Jose M. Caldas De Almeida
  • , John Fayyad
  • , Silvia Florescu
  • , Giovanni De Girolamo
  • , Oye Gureje
  • , Chiyi Hu
  • , Peter De Jonge
  • , Viviane Kovess-Masfety
  • , Jean Pierre Lepine
  • , Carmen C.W. Lim
  • , Fernando Navarro-Mateu
  • Maria Piazza, Nancy Sampson, José Posada-Villa, Kenneth S. Kendler, Ronald C. Kessler
  • The Park Centre for Mental Health
  • The University of Queensland
  • Qadisia University
  • Institut Hospital del Mar d’Investigacions Mediques
  • University of São Paulo
  • Metropolitan Autonomous University
  • Stony Brook University School of Medicine
  • Centre for Mental Health and Community Wellbeing
  • Katholieke Universiteit Leuven
  • Universidade Nova de Lisboa
  • Institute for Development Research
  • National School of Public Health, Management and Professional Development
  • Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico
  • University College Hospital, Ibadan
  • Shenzhen Kangning Hospital
  • University Medical Center Groningen
  • Paris Descartes University
  • Assistance Publique Hôpitaux de Paris
  • University of Otago
  • Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Epidemiología y Salud Publica
  • Harvard Medical School
  • El Bosque University
  • Virginia Commonwealth University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

115 Scopus citations

Abstract

Background: Given the early age of onset (AOO) of psychotic disorders, it has been assumed that psychotic experiences (PEs) would have a similar early AOO. The aims of this study were to describe (a) the AOO distribution of PEs, (b) the projected lifetime risk of PEs, and (c) the associations of PE AOO with selected PE features. Methods: Data came from the WHO World Mental Health (WMH) surveys. A total of 31 261 adult respondents across 18 countries were assessed for lifetime prevalence of PE. Projected lifetime risk (at age 75 years) was estimated using a 2-part actuarial method. AOO distributions were described for the observed and projected estimates. We examined associations of AOO with PE type metric and annualized PE frequency. Results: Projected lifetime risk for PEs was 7.8% (SE = 0.3), slightly higher than lifetime prevalence (5.8%, SE = 0.2). The median (interquartile range; IQR) AOO based on projected lifetime estimates was 26 (17-41) years, indicating that PEs commence across a wide age range. The AOO distributions for PEs did not differ by sex. Early AOO was positively associated with number of PE types (F = 14.1, P < .001) but negatively associated with annualized PE frequency rates (F = 8.0, P < .001). Discussion: While most people with lifetime PEs have first onsets in adolescence or young adulthood, projected estimates indicate that nearly a quarter of first onsets occur after age 40 years. The extent to which late onset PEs are associated with (a) late onset mental disorders or (b) declining cognitive and/or sensory function need further research.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)933-941
Number of pages9
JournalSchizophrenia Bulletin
Volume42
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - Jul 2016

Keywords

  • Age of onset
  • Epidemiology
  • Lifetime prevalence
  • Psychotic experiences
  • World Mental Health Survey

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