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Cambios en la mortalidad por cáncer gástrico en el Perú antes, durante y después de la pandemia: un análisis nacional de series de tiempo interrumpidas

Translated title of the contribution: Changes in gastric cancer mortality in Peru before, during, and after the pandemic: a national interrupted time series analysisn
  • Harold Benites-Goñi
  • , Carlos A. Huayanay-Espinoza
  • , Alvaro G. Oviedo-Rios
  • , Rodrigo Motta
  • , Victor Castro
  • , Luis Huicho
  • Universidad San Ignacio de Loyola
  • Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia
  • Instituto Nacional de Enfermedades Neoplásicas Eduardo Cáceres Graziani

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

INTRODUCTION: The diagnosis and treatment of gastric cancer may have been affected during the COVID-19 pandemic, ultimately influencing mortality from this disease. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate changes in gastric cancer mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic years. MATERIALS AND METHODS: An interrupted time series analysis was conducted to assess changes in gastric cancer mortality. Data were obtained from the National Death Information System. Three periods were compared: pre-pandemic (2017-2019), pandemic (2020-2021), and post-pandemic (2022-2023). Segmented regression models were used. RESULTS: Before the pandemic, an average of 2,107 deaths per year was recorded. During 2020 and 2021, mortality increased by 39% and 118%, respectively. The highest peaks occurred between April and July 2020. An additional rise was observed during the early months of 2021. Although mortality progressively declined in 2023, pre-pandemic levels were not restored. The analysis showed that observed deaths consistently exceeded expected projections through late 2022. CONCLUSIONS: The COVID-19 pandemic generated a temporary but significant increase in gastric cancer-related mortality in Peru.

Translated title of the contributionChanges in gastric cancer mortality in Peru before, during, and after the pandemic: a national interrupted time series analysisn
Original languageSpanish
Pages (from-to)345-352
Number of pages8
JournalRevista de gastroenterología del Perú : órgano oficial de la Sociedad de Gastroenterología del Perú
Volume45
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - 1 Oct 2025

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

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