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Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors in Child and Adolescent Health, 1990 to 2017: Findings from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors 2017 Study

  • Nicholas J. Kassebaum
  • , Robert C. Reiner
  • , Helen Elizabeth Olsen
  • , Chad Thomas Ikeda
  • , Michelle M. Echko
  • , Katherine E. Ballestreros
  • , Helen Manguerra
  • , Ira Martopullo
  • , Anoushka Millear
  • , Chloe Shields
  • , Alison Smith
  • , Bryan Strub
  • , Molla Abebe
  • , Zegeye Abebe
  • , Beyene Meressa Adhena
  • , Tara Ballav Adhikari
  • , Mohammed Akibu
  • , Rajaa M. Al-Raddadi
  • , Nelson Alvis-Guzman
  • , Carl Abelardo T. Antonio
  • Olatunde Aremu, Solomon Weldegebreal Asgedom, Netsanet Abera Asseffa, Leticia Avila-Burgos, Aleksandra Barac, Till W. Bärnighausen, Quique Bassat, Isabela M. Bensenor, Zulfiqar A. Bhutta, Ali Bijani, Nigus Bililign, Lucero Cahuana-Hurtado, Deborah Carvalho Malta, Jung Chen Chang, Fiona J. Charlson, Samath Dhamminda Dharmaratne, David Teye Doku, Dumessa Edessa, Ziad El-Khatib, Holly E. Erskine, Alize J. Ferrari, Nancy Fullman, Rahul Gupta, Hamid Yimam Hassen, Simon I. Hay, Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi, Kathryn H. Jacobsen, Amaha Kahsay, Amir Kasaeian, Tesfaye Dessale Kassa, Seifu Kebede, Yousef Saleh Khader, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Mohammed Nuruzzaman Khan, Young Ho Khang, Jagdish Khubchandani, Yohannes Kinfu, Sonali Kochhar, Yoshihiro Kokubo, Ai Koyanagi, Barthelemy Kuate Defo, Dharmesh Kumar Lal, Fekede Asefa Kumsa, Heidi J. Larson, Janni Leung, Abdullah A. Mamun, Suresh Mehata, Mulugeta Melku, Walter Mendoza, Haftay Berhane Mezgebe, Ted R. Miller, Nurilign Abebe Moges, Shafiu Mohammed, Ali H. Mokdad, Lorenzo Monasta, Subas Neupane, Huong Lan Thi Nguyen, Dina Nur Anggraini Ningrum, Yirga Legesse Nirayo, Vuong Minh Nong, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, Andrew T. Olagunju, Bolajoko Olubukunola Olusanya, Jacob Olusegun Olusanya, George C. Patton, David M. Pereira, Farshad Pourmalek, Mostafa Qorbani, Anwar Rafay, Rajesh Kumar Rai, Usha Ram, Chhabi Lal Ranabhat, Andre M.N. Renzaho, Mohammad Sadegh Rezai, Luca Ronfani, Gregory A. Roth, Saeid Safiri, Benn Sartorius, James G. Scott, Katya Anne Shackelford, Karen Sliwa, Chandrashekhar Sreeramareddy, Mu'awiyyah Bable Sufiyan, Abdullah Sulieman Terkawi, Roman Topor-Madry, Bach Xuan Tran, Kingsley Nnanna Ukwaja, Olalekan A. Uthman, Stein Emil Vollset, Kidu Gidey Weldegwergs, Andrea Werdecker, Harvey A. Whiteford, Tissa Wijeratne, Naohiro Yonemoto, Marcel Yotebieng, Liesl J. Zuhlke, Hmwe Hmwe Kyu, Mohsen Naghavi, Theo Vos, Christopher J.L. Murray
  • Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
  • Univ. of Washington Sch. of Med.
  • University of Gondar
  • Mekelle University
  • Center for Social Science and Public Health Research Nepal
  • University of Southern Denmark, Esbjerg
  • Debre Berhan University
  • King Abdulaziz University
  • University of Cartagena
  • Universidad de la Costa
  • University of the Philippines Manila
  • Hong Kong Polytechnic University
  • Birmingham City University
  • Wolaita Sodo University
  • National Institute of Public Health
  • Clinical Center of Serbia
  • University of Belgrade
  • Heidelberg University
  • Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health
  • Universitat de Barcelona
  • Centro de Investigação em Saúde da Manhiça (CISM)
  • University of São Paulo
  • University of Toronto
  • Aga Khan University
  • Babol University of Medical Sciences
  • Woldia University
  • Federal University of Minas Gerais
  • National Taiwan University College of Medicine
  • The University of Queensland
  • University of Washington
  • University of Peradeniya
  • University of Cape Coast Ghana
  • University of Tampere
  • Haramaya University
  • Karolinska Institutet
  • West Virginia Bureau for Public Health
  • West Virginia University
  • Mizan-Tepi University
  • University Hospital Antwerp
  • University of Liberia
  • George Mason University
  • Tehran University of Medical Sciences
  • Tehran University of Medical Sciences
  • Salale University
  • Jordan University of Science and Technology
  • Health Services Academy Islamabad
  • School of Medicine and Public Health
  • Jatiya Kabi Kazi Nazrul Islam University
  • Seoul National University
  • Ball State University
  • University of Canberra
  • Murdoch Childrens Research Institute
  • Erasmus MC
  • National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center
  • Research and Development Unit
  • Universite de Montreal
  • Public Health Foundation of India
  • University of Technology Sydney
  • London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
  • Research Department
  • United Nations Population Fund
  • Ethiopian Academy of Medical Science
  • Pacific Institute for Research & Evaluation
  • Curtin University
  • Debre Markos University
  • Ahmadu Bello University
  • Burlo Garofolo Institute for Maternal and Child Health
  • Duy Tan University
  • Universitas Negeri Semarang
  • Taipei Medical University
  • Western Sydney University
  • University of Adelaide
  • University of Lagos
  • Centre for Healthy Start Initiative
  • Department of Paediatrics
  • University of Porto
  • University of British Columbia
  • Alborz University of Medical Sciences
  • Contech School of Public Health
  • Society for Health and Demographic Surveillance
  • University of Göttingen
  • International Institute for Population Sciences
  • Yonsei University Mirae Campus
  • Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences
  • Maragheh University of Medical Sciences
  • University of KwaZulu-Natal
  • University of Cape Town
  • International Medical University
  • University of Virginia
  • Syrian Expatriate Medical Association (SEMA)
  • Jagiellonian University Medical College
  • Agency for Health Technology Assessment and Tariff System
  • Hanoi Medical University
  • Federal Teaching Hospital
  • University of Warwick
  • Federal Institute for Population Research
  • Independent Consultant
  • Department of Medicine
  • La Trobe University
  • National Center of Neurology and Psychiatry
  • Ohio State University
  • University of Kinshasa

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

237 Scopus citations

Abstract

Importance: Understanding causes and correlates of health loss among children and adolescents can identify areas of success, stagnation, and emerging threats and thereby facilitate effective improvement strategies. Objective: To estimate mortality and morbidity in children and adolescents from 1990 to 2017 by age and sex in 195 countries and territories. Design, Setting, and Participants: This study examined levels, trends, and spatiotemporal patterns of cause-specific mortality and nonfatal health outcomes using standardized approaches to data processing and statistical analysis. It also describes epidemiologic transitions by evaluating historical associations between disease indicators and the Socio-Demographic Index (SDI), a composite indicator of income, educational attainment, and fertility. Data collected from 1990 to 2017 on children and adolescents from birth through 19 years of age in 195 countries and territories were assessed. Data analysis occurred from January 2018 to August 2018. Exposures: Being under the age of 20 years between 1990 and 2017. Main Outcomes and Measures: Death and disability. All-cause and cause-specific deaths, disability-adjusted life years, years of life lost, and years of life lived with disability. Results: Child and adolescent deaths decreased 51.7% from 13.77 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 13.60-13.93 million) in 1990 to 6.64 million (95% UI, 6.44-6.87 million) in 2017, but in 2017, aggregate disability increased 4.7% to a total of 145 million (95% UI, 107-190 million) years lived with disability globally. Progress was uneven, and inequity increased, with low-SDI and low-middle-SDI locations experiencing 82.2% (95% UI, 81.6%-82.9%) of deaths, up from 70.9% (95% UI, 70.4%-71.4%) in 1990. The leading disaggregated causes of disability-adjusted life years in 2017 in the low-SDI quintile were neonatal disorders, lower respiratory infections, diarrhea, malaria, and congenital birth defects, whereas neonatal disorders, congenital birth defects, headache, dermatitis, and anxiety were highest-ranked in the high-SDI quintile. Conclusions and Relevance: Mortality reductions over this 27-year period mean that children are more likely than ever to reach their 20th birthdays. The concomitant expansion of nonfatal health loss and epidemiological transition in children and adolescents, especially in low-SDI and middle-SDI countries, has the potential to increase already overburdened health systems, will affect the human capital potential of societies, and may influence the trajectory of socioeconomic development. Continued monitoring of child and adolescent health loss is crucial to sustain the progress of the past 27 years.

Original languageEnglish
JournalJAMA Pediatrics
Volume173
Issue number6
DOIs
StatePublished - Jun 2019
Externally publishedYes

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being
  2. SDG 8 - Decent Work and Economic Growth
    SDG 8 Decent Work and Economic Growth

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