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Scaling of mortality in 742 metropolitan areas of the Americas

  • Usama Bilal
  • , Caio P. de Castro
  • , Tania Alfaro
  • , Tonatiuh Barrientos-Gutierrez
  • , Mauricio L. Barreto
  • , Carlos M. Leveau
  • , Kevin Martinez-Folgar
  • , J. Jaime Miranda
  • , Felipe Montes
  • , Pricila Mullachery
  • , Maria Fatima Pina
  • , Daniel A. Rodriguez
  • , Gervasio F. dos Santos
  • , Roberto F.S. Andrade
  • , Ana V.Diez Roux
  • Drexel University
  • Oswaldo Cruz Foundation
  • Federal University of Bahia
  • Universidad de Chile
  • National Institute of Public Health
  • Universidad Nacional de Lanus
  • CONICET
  • Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia
  • Universidad de los Andes
  • Oswaldo Cruz Foundation
  • University of Porto
  • University of California, Berkeley

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

25 Scopus citations

Abstract

We explored how mortality scales with city population size using vital registration and population data from 742 cities in 10 Latin American countries and the United States. We found that more populated cities had lower mortality (sublinear scaling), driven by a sublinear pattern in U.S. cities, while Latin American cities had similar mortality across city sizes. Sexually transmitted infections and homicides showed higher rates in larger cities (superlinear scaling). Tuberculosis mortality behaved sublinearly in U.S. and Mexican cities and superlinearly in other Latin American cities. Other communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional deaths, and deaths due to noncommunicable diseases were generally sublinear in the United States and linear or superlinear in Latin America. Our findings reveal distinct patterns across the Americas, suggesting no universal relation between city size and mortality, pointing to the importance of understanding the processes that explain heterogeneity in scaling behavior or mortality to further advance urban health policies.

Original languageEnglish
Article numberabl6325
JournalScience Advances
Volume7
Issue number50
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 2021

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being
  2. SDG 16 - Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions
    SDG 16 Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions

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