TY - JOUR
T1 - Integrating age-dependent pig susceptibility and spatial exposure heterogeneity improves agent-based modeling of Taenia solium transmission
AU - for The Cysticercosis Working Group in Peru
AU - Pizzitutti, Francesco
AU - Bonnet, Gabrielle
AU - Gonzales-Gustavson, Eloy
AU - Gabriël, Sarah
AU - Pan, William K.
AU - Gonzalez, Armando E.
AU - Garcia, Hector H.
AU - O’Neal, Seth E.
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2026 The Author(s).
PY - 2026
Y1 - 2026
N2 - Taenia solium causes an estimated 2.8 million disability-adjusted life years annually and substantial economic burdens in endemic regions. Understanding pig infection dynamics is essential for control, yet age-dependent susceptibility, acquired immunity, and spatially heterogeneous exposure are rarely represented in transmission models. We integrated experimental infection data across pig age groups into a local-scale agent-based model (ABM) of T. solium transmission. The model includes age-related susceptibility peaking at weaning, immunity elicited by egg exposure, and heterogeneous pig–environment interactions derived from GPS-tracked movements. We compared four model configurations: baseline, immunity only, exposure heterogeneity only, and combined. Calibration and validation used human taeniasis and pig cysticercosis prevalence data from eight rural Peruvian villages; intervention scenarios included mass vaccination and anthelmintic treatment. All configurations fit observed data well, but models incorporating heterogeneous susceptibility concentrated 95% of infections before 6.5 months (versus distributed across lifespan in baseline). The combined model best reproduced empirical cyst burden distributions, with 2.2% of pigs harboring 87% of total cysts, approaching the observed 99.2% aggregation. Immunity attenuated post-intervention prevalence rebounds. Mass pig vaccination reduced pig cysticercosis prevalence by 16% in models without immunity but had negligible effect when immunity was included, indicating age-targeted interventions are essential; lower age cut-off needs maternal immunity data for cost-effective control. Integrating pig immunity and exposure heterogeneity improves T.
AB - Taenia solium causes an estimated 2.8 million disability-adjusted life years annually and substantial economic burdens in endemic regions. Understanding pig infection dynamics is essential for control, yet age-dependent susceptibility, acquired immunity, and spatially heterogeneous exposure are rarely represented in transmission models. We integrated experimental infection data across pig age groups into a local-scale agent-based model (ABM) of T. solium transmission. The model includes age-related susceptibility peaking at weaning, immunity elicited by egg exposure, and heterogeneous pig–environment interactions derived from GPS-tracked movements. We compared four model configurations: baseline, immunity only, exposure heterogeneity only, and combined. Calibration and validation used human taeniasis and pig cysticercosis prevalence data from eight rural Peruvian villages; intervention scenarios included mass vaccination and anthelmintic treatment. All configurations fit observed data well, but models incorporating heterogeneous susceptibility concentrated 95% of infections before 6.5 months (versus distributed across lifespan in baseline). The combined model best reproduced empirical cyst burden distributions, with 2.2% of pigs harboring 87% of total cysts, approaching the observed 99.2% aggregation. Immunity attenuated post-intervention prevalence rebounds. Mass pig vaccination reduced pig cysticercosis prevalence by 16% in models without immunity but had negligible effect when immunity was included, indicating age-targeted interventions are essential; lower age cut-off needs maternal immunity data for cost-effective control. Integrating pig immunity and exposure heterogeneity improves T.
KW - Agent-based modeling (ABM)
KW - Environmental exposure heterogeneity
KW - Immunity dynamics
KW - Mass vaccination impact
KW - Pig susceptibility
KW - Taenia solium transmission
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105036804376
U2 - 10.1016/j.ijpara.2026.104853
DO - 10.1016/j.ijpara.2026.104853
M3 - Artículo
C2 - 41997225
AN - SCOPUS:105036804376
SN - 0020-7519
JO - International Journal for Parasitology
JF - International Journal for Parasitology
M1 - 104853
ER -